Reconfiguration and Reframing

reconfiguration reframingDomino’s Pizza Turnaround Strategy is an interesting case study in strategic initiatives, which I have described in detail in this article. Its core competitive challenge involved shrinking market share, declining revenues, and public relations problems.  It decided to reinvent the pizza by changing most of the ingredients.

As part of its strategy, the company also changed parts of its communications program with consumers, franchisees, and others. It embarked on a novel advertising campaign that took advantage of social media. Just like changing the ingredients was a reconfiguration, the new actions reconfigured business processes.

Why did Domino’s choose to invest significant resources undertake the makeover of its core product, with the risk of disrupting traditional consumers? The company’s advertising highlighted customer complaints. “Instead of ignoring them, we choose to use them to motivate us to do better,” said CEO Patrick Doyle. Domino’s product development team reframed the complaints into focused inspiration to make some difficult changes. It reframed its story away from its heritage (we deliver pizzas) to one of a heroic story (we’re a team that is unafraid of challenges).

Strategy Involves Reconfiguration

I propose that the process of strategy development is the reconfiguration of assets to meet a core challenge.

Let’s unpack that statement: Organizations (and individuals) have tangible and intangible assets. When they practice strategy, identify gaps. They search out assets from within and without and start moving those assets to create power. Often, they remove assets that are not contributing to the organization’s competitive power.

As an analogy, picture two homeowners who are selling their house. They want to “stage” the house so that it shows well. They de-clutter and discard things. They arrange furniture so that it highlights the home’s charm. They repaint. These homeowners are reconfiguring their home to achieve the important end of a fast and good offer from a buyer.

The second part of the statement says that the target of reconfiguration is that of meeting a core challenge. All organizations face numerous challenges. Sometimes they are the challenges of keeping up with growth and demand.  Sometimes the challenges are in maintaining a competitive advantage. Which one is the “core challenge?”

I’ve met many senior managers over the years. All of them are concerned about their success and are actively thinking about it. Although it might be tough for them to come up with a single “core challenge” most can easily list a handful of things that deserve attention.

These same managers generally have a difficult time when examining their challenges in light of the inevitable changes that will take place in the future. None admit to having a crystal ball, and few make the time for describing scenarios.

The practice of thinking strategically can help with identifying this core challenge and with making the right choices for reconfiguration.

Don’t Plunge into Strategic Planning without Some Individual Strategic Thinking Practice

Most good strategy work involves pondering questions. These questions are open and ambiguous.

On the other hand, a strategic-planning session typically is focused on creating a deliverable: a strategy and a document to describe that strategy.

It’s best to ask people to work on the strategic thinking before engaging them in strategic planning. Give them homework in the way of data, historical analysis, and so forth.

Also, encourage their imagination: what might the future look like? The goal is not prediction, but rather to create some open-mindedness and flexibility.

Strategic Thinking Involves Reframing

Strategic thinking is an individual competency. Its greatest value to organizations is that it contributes reframed explanations of the current and future situation. That means that we are taking current assumptions and reframing them into a novel, hopefully-interesting explanation of reality.

The simplest kind of reframing is that of refocusing.  To refocus is to shift the attention from one thing to another, much the way that Domino’s shifted the attention from “crust tastes like cardboard” to “best-tasting pizza.” I think of it as analogous to cropping a picture: you’re selecting the part of the picture that you want to emphasize.

A second, more-powerful type of reframing is one that questions and challenges the validity of the current paradigm.  Is Domino’s Pizza a food delivery company. I think the answer is no: it is a restaurant that happens to deliver food. The question “Who are we?” tends to stimulate this kind of reframing.

Strategic thinking is a habit involving awareness of the current situation and the openness to new frames that explain the situation. To improve your strategic thinking competency, look closer at the concept of reframing.

Tips for Reframing

  • Identify anchors in your thinking. Do you always go to the same explanations about why things happen in your industry or to your organization? What are your biases and prejudices?
  • Be playful with ideas. How could a new competitor disrupt your industry?
  • Get to know people who hold different ideas and philosophies. Yeah, this is standard creative thinking advice; however, seriously considering the validity of other points of view can show you new ways of looking at things.
  • Practice with historical thinking. What were the key events that resulted in the current situation? How much has the organization culture affected the retelling of the story? Take a look a turning point in the past, and look for analogies: how is it similar and how is it different from the current situation?
  • Play with scenarios. No one knows what will happen in the future, but a few minutes of considering best and worst cases can give you a new perspective.

A competent strategic thinker is continually aware of mental frames and continually practices reframing. It’s part of the playful thinking style. At some point in time, your intuition will tell you when the core challenge has appeared. That’s your signal to start considering the options for reconfiguring.

With this model of reconfiguration and reframing, I suggest that organizations don’t need to be constantly making strategy. It’s too distracting from the running of the business. Instead, I believe that every organization should ask its employees to make strategic thinking a habit.

To “think about” strategy is to imagine the reconfiguration of assets and actions into a new system.  To “think strategically” is to mentally reframe the assumptions associated with personal perspective.  This gives us a more nuanced way to describe strategic thinking as an individual competency. Do you agree?

How to Develop a Perspective: Core Challenges and Strategic Thinking

Individual perspective is a foundation of strategic thinking. Perspective is more than a switchable point of view. It is an organizing framework that helps articulate an understanding of the core challenge that is the essential cause for developing strategy.

As you build your strategic thinking competency, the best way to develop a useful perspective for strategy development is to start with yourself. Don’t be concerned with strategy; be concerned with your own personal story and experiences. You already have a personal perspective, but if I asked you to put it into words, you would probably struggle.  Here are six suggestions that might help you find those words:

  1. You could make a list of things that have influenced you. It could include books, public speeches, movies, and mentors.
  2. What life experiences have influenced you? I believe that a personal perspective shares much with the concept of your life’s story, the way that you conceive of where you’ve been, where you are, and where you’re going.
  3. What has traumatized you in the past? In particular, I find interesting the presence of near-death experiences. We can make the argument that Christopher Columbus’ survival of a pirate attack and shipwreck in 1476 was a turning point in his life. Before then, he was a seafaring adventurer but afterwards we can see that he really started to grasp the strategic concepts that would lead to his endeavor to gain resources to sail west. Near death experiences can provide a compelling sense of clarity – that is, perspective – to people. Consider this report cited in USA Today in an article on CEOs and near-death experiences:

Last June [2008], management consultant Grant Thornton surveyed 250 CEOs of companies with revenue of $50 million or more. Twenty-two percent said they have had an experience when they believed they would die and, of those, 61% said it changed their long-term perspective on life or career. Forty-one percent said it made them more compassionate leaders; 16% said it made them more ambitious; 14% said it made them less ambitious.

Regardless of whether you have had a near-death experience and/or trauma, I believe that you can use your imagination to consider your perspective about what is important and what is not.

  1. What is your personal brand or elevator speech? A personal brand is represents the way that you think about yourself and how you want others to think about you.
  2. What is your sense of moral righteousness? Branch Rickey, the General Manager/Owner of the Brooklyn Dodgers is best remembered for his role in integrating Major League Baseball by bringing its first black ballplayer, Jackie Robinson, into the League. He said that he remembered how a black college teammate was mistreated, and felt that this was a wrong that needed to be righted. Besides, he wanted to do anything he could to field winning ball team.
  3. Do you have any skepticism about “the system” and prevailing wisdom. Perhaps you are offended or annoyed by traditions and the establishment. As an example, Billy Beane, the General Manager of the Oakland A’s Baseball team (and of Moneyball fame) carried with him a skepticism about the ability of scouts to accurately judge baseball talent. When he was told to win with a radically reduced payroll, his perspective likely contributed greatly to his practice of strategic thinking.

Again, use this list as a starting point for articulating your personal perspective.

The Strategist’s Perspective

The next step is to develop that perspective in light of your need to develop strategy. Note the nearby graphic. It starts with a statement that brings more focus to “a courageous and commonsense view of the competitive challenge.” This statement seems adequately descriptive of the situation that strategic thinkers like Louis Gerstner, Estee Lauder, and Christopher Columbus confronted.  It suggests some general principles of a good perspective on strategy

  • Value is found in contrarian Time and again, we see great accomplishments in taking a contrarian perspective different from than the prevailing wisdom.
    • Courage is distinctive characteristic of many strategic thinkers
  • The perspective is coherent.
    • As NVIDIA’s co-founder Jensen Huang said, “Our perspective was commonsense.”
  • It is contextualized to address the unique nuances of the situation.
    • It acknowledges the challenge facing the individual or the organization, especially regarding competitive posture and advantage.

Contrarian Coherent ContextualizedA Dance: Perspective and the Core Challenge

A core challenge is a single challenge (or a cluster of related challenges) that holds significance for the individual’s or the organization’s future success. Strategy is the designed response to a core challenge. Often people are so busy trying to solve the problems that face them that they don’t bother to think about the problem; more specifically, people spend insufficient time defining the problem. People avoid thinking about and confronting problems that are unpleasant and require action.

I’ve often asked people, “What is your core challenge? or What do you Want to be Different?” Unfortunately, the answers often show little depth of understanding.

Thus, we might have chicken-and-egg situation where it’s pointless to worry about what to do first.  The path forward, I suggest, is to simultaneously consider the two questions of perspective and core challenge. Strive to make progress and deepen your understanding of both.  As you do so, insights will emerge and you’ll move closer to understanding the strategy that best fits your situation.

Can you articulate your strategic perspective and core challenge?

Three Healthy Practices for Enhancing Strategic Foresight

Strategic Risk Probability Impact GraphBy definition, strategic thinking is concerned about success in the future. It is a style of thinking that imaginative AND systematic.  As contrasted with reading palms or charting the movement of the Zodiac constellations, strategic thinkers look to rational methods that fall in the discipline of “futures” or “strategic foresight.” The goal of the strategic thinker is to develop insights and design strategy that recognizes that the future cannot be predicted.

I tell audiences that leaders must prepare for multiple potential futures, enabling them to adjust faster to rapidly changing geopolitical, economic, regulatory and technical developments. Envisioning such possible futures and determining how to best meet those requirements can help leaders create a more agile and responsive set of strategic capabilities. To create a more agile and change-capable organization, you should focus your efforts on becoming “futures-ready.” Here are three healthy practices that can assist you in developing a robust perspective future:

Healthy Practice #1: Be Skeptical of Vision Statements

Visioning is an exercise to develop perspective and dialogue about the future, not a “locked in” objective. Many vision statements assume that the future will look a lot like the past. In this case, vision becomes the sole hypothesis about what will happen. It becomes a prediction. This single-hypothesis assumption, in a nutshell, is the difference between long-range planning and strategic planning.

Healthy Practice #2: Use Risk and Opportunity Analysis as Inputs

Most organizations spend some time with formal risk assessment, resulting in a list of “things to watch for and manage.” Although many times the risk analysis seems to be more of a litany of standard problems, I find that the effort could be used to create a greater awareness of the future.  After all, isn’t the risk analysis simply recognizing that there is a cause-effect relationship between a risk event and its consequence?

Healthy Practice #3: Imagine the Best Case and Worst Case Scenarios

Since no one can anticipate the future with certainty, it’s wise to consider scenarios. What is the best that could happen to you? What is the worst?

This is just a few of many healthy practices for developing a strategic foresight. How have you used them? What other practices do you suggest?

How to Recognize Competence in Strategic Thinking

Strategic Thinking CompetenceAs a strategic thinking coach, I help people become more competent in the art of thinking strategically. Since strategic thinking, by definition, is concerned with success, I need to provide some sort of target for competency. That is the purpose of this article.

Why before What

Strategic thinking is hard work, and that is why it is uncommon. Let’s quickly affirm that you will experience benefits from investing effort into this discipline. It offers many benefits:

  • People get promoted because of their ability to think strategically. Strategic thinking is the #1 desired skill of the next generation of managers
  • Organizations with good strategy thrive; we are in an age of exploding complexity and this complexity creates threats and opportunities. The purpose of strategic thinking is to create good strategy; thus, organizational success is directly tied to success.
  • The world is full of opportunity for entrepreneurs who think strategically

An Individual Competency, Not an Organizational Process

I remind you that strategic thinking is a style of thinking, practiced by the individual. Strategic thinking is not a set of process or a part of a process (some people mistakenly confuse it for environmental scanning) or a tool (some people mistakenly confuse it for SWOT or scenarios); although those processes and tools can enhance the practice of thinking strategically.

Characteristics of a Good Strategic Thinker

Based on my experience, the competency goal is this:

A person is a competent strategic thinker when
they naturally and intuitively think strategically.

Here is what I would look for if I were evaluating a person as a competent strategic thinker:

  • The person is continually thinking about how he or she defines success.
  • As part of the definition of success, he or she recognizes that resources are limited and must be focused on those activities that increase the realization of success
  • The person recognizes ambiguity, and does not seek to eliminate the ambiguity until they feel they understand the situation
  • The person generally curious. As part of this curiosity, he or she is alert for patterns and see patterns and systems effects. He or she is alert for opportunities.
  • The person recognizes inertia; that is, the state of affairs when there is little change and other are habitually following the status quo.  In this case, the strategic thinker might encourage change (of a low-grade variety) simply to break the routine. I recently heard of a team of executives who decided to read magazines from outside their industry and field of expertise.
  • The person recognizes when compartmentalization of functions and specialties in an organization are causing too-narrow of a view of the organization.
  • The person is more aware of strategic resources in their possession.

What does the improvement pathway look like?

Two of the most important functions of a coach are to removing misconceptions and change inappropriate habits. These misconceptions and habits are different with each individual. Thus, in the diagnostic phase of coaching, we need to find out what the person knows that is true and what they know (and do) that is unhelpful.

People who are interested in strategic thinking always start with an existing base of knowledge about the field of strategy. They are not simply empty vessels to be filled with expertise. Some of their knowledge is valid, but some of their knowledge is invalid and the challenge reminds me of the quote by Will Rodgers,

It’s not what we don’t know that causes trouble. It’s what we know that ain’t so.

Probably the most significant misconception is that strategy is what is defined in a strategic plan, and is the mission, vision, and values of the organization. Strategy is a tailored response of resources and actions to meet a “core challenge.”

Thus, it’s better to tailor coaching to the existing knowledge of the learner.

All learners have strengths, and it is helpful to use them as foundation. For example, skill in risk analysis can be leveraged because risk analysis is a process of understanding cause and effect with the recognition that the effects appear in the future. A person who is competent at risk probably is comfortable with systems thinking and imaging the future, which are traits that are useful for strategic thinking.

Self Directed & Self-Paced Learning

Undoubtedly, individuals can pursue a self-directed course of study to improve their competency in strategic thinking.

I encourage all learners of strategic thinking to study examples.  Movies are a good choice that can be fun as well as instructive.  The movie that best portrays strategic thinking is Moneyball, but other good choices are 42, The Social Network, Dirty Rotten Scoundrels, and A Beautiful Mind.  You can find plenty of examples from historical and fictional characters, too.

Do you agree with these characteristics of competent strategic thinkers? What else should be added?

Intuition and Insight

Intuition InsightThe concepts of intuition and insight are similar in that they both are unconscious realizations that can guide strategic decision making. However, intuition and insight function differently and this leads to strengths and drawbacks in creating strategic action. Consider this question,

When should I lean on intuition and
when should I lean on insight for guidance in strategy?

This article will help you further refine your application of strategic thinking.

Intuition

Intuition is the ability to understand a situation immediately, without the need for conscious reasoning. Intuition comes from well-formed memories and is a type of expertise. Let’s consider an example:

Most of us know executives who have been with their firms for a long time and who understand how the business operates. When it comes to strategy, their style is typically informal and conversational.  Ideas are kicked around, and decisions are made.  These executives are right most of the time, and are typically venerated within the organization for their abilities.  When you ask them how they make their decisions, they unapologetically say that they have a feel or sixth sense for how things could work.

Wrong Applications

It fairly common for people to go to their bosses for an important decision. It’s also common for the boss to rely on intuition. The good news is that intuitive styles are very efficient and workable.

The bad news is that reliance on intuition often allows a person to discount external changes and ambiguities. Intuition to be inappropriate for the situation.

Because intuition is learned knowledge, it shares the same bed with habits. Often the intuition falters when the external situation changes as the habits of status quo hinder framing a new model of organizational performance.

Insight               

Whereas intuition comes from the activation of something you already know, insight is the discovery of new patterns or the reframing of patterns. As Gary Klein describes it, insight is the conversion of a mediocre story to a better story.

In my article, on 3Ms Post Its, I described an “aha moment” by co-inventor Art Fry who slaps his forehead and exclaims, “what we have here is a whole new way to communicate.” Post Its were not simply scrap paper coated with a weak adhesive, but a way to call attention to a document and create focused action (such as indicating where a signature is needed).

The example of Absolute Vodka at home parties in this article is particularly instructive on the nature of insight generation.  I this case, researchers collected data and studied with a trained eye. They looked for patterns and found that alcohol at home parties represents a different kind of social lubricant, not about status and taste but about individuality and humor.

How (and When) to Apply

Those readers familiar with Meyers-Briggs assessment of personality will probably recognize that  intuition and insight generally reflect the “N” intuitive thinking preference and the “S” sensing preference. Sometimes individual preferences become blind spots, so I’d argue that it an agile, flexible style of thinking is most appropriate.

Both insight and intuition use data and result in a conclusion. Generally speaking, insights tend to come more from external data or from use of models whereas intuition leans on personal learning and experiences.

Intuition is more subjective to the individual’s past experiences and training. We might want to consider the breadth of experience that person has. You might ask questions such as these: What is the source of intuition? What experiences are being applied? What parts of the experience are relevant to the current situation?

Insight leans more heavily on objective data. You might ask questions such as these: What is source of the insight?  What data is being applied?

Both intuition and insight are valuable. Intuition comes from experience, and can make for efficient decisions.  The big caveat is to make sure that the experience is relevant to the situation at hand. When you don’t have experience to lean on, you should work on capturing insights.

Thus, we continue to build a case for the importance of self-awareness and metacognition (awareness of your own thinking) as important elements of strategic thinking competency. We need to be on guard for “flow” and effortless management of situations, because strategy often involves things that are just outside of what we’ve chosen to notice.

Do you agree that the distinction between intuition and insight is important?

Strategic Thinking: Finding Underlying Structure, Reframing, and Testing Expectations

Interesting Seminar

You’ll want to use strategic thinking for grand problems of organizational competitive position, but you’ll also find applicable to more mundane challenges such as this situation:

I was facilitating a workshop to encourage more discipline in project planning and delivery. I was well acquainted with the organization from the CEO down, and I was concerned. I knew participants would be distracted by their laptops and mobile devices because the continuing imperatives of responding to business operations in the midst of making the biggest ever company acquisition.

Every workshop leader and facilitator knows the challenge of gaining and maintaining the attention of participants. I pondered this strategic question on the plane ride: How do I create motivation and energy for the meeting? As I thought about that question, I realized a creative insight: I would start off the seminar with this question: What makes a seminar interesting?

The next day, at the start of the workshop, I wrote the question on a flip chart page. I gave the participants sticky notes and asked them to write short responses on the sticky notes. I instructed them to post the notes to a page and categorize them (see the nearby photo).

In reviewing the group’s result, I said, “Do you agree that you want this workshop to be interesting? If it this is what you want as outcome, you need to work me. You say you want fun and interactive. You need to understand that I’m not an entertainer. If you want interaction, you can’t just passively sit there and listen. You have to contribute.”

I also announced, “I’m here to help you get promoted.” That was a learning from earlier in the year when I found that the message resonates with people, especially those in the early and mid-stages of their career.

We had an engaged and energized session. Learners were willing to accept responsibility for their own learning and their own experience. One person said, “I thought you were just going to teach me some process. The message about getting promoted was really got my attention. This was one of the best workshops I’ve ever attended.”

At the surface, this vignette is just a “how to” insight. But at a deeper level, there are more profound lessons that apply to strategic thinking. First, I recognized an underlying structure that was retarding engagement, and thus strategy execution. I define the underlying structure as a system of interactions that produce recognizable behaviors. They reflect the context. To understand a strategic situation is to understand the a peculiar underlying structure.

Here is a brief description of context: This company’s top executives seldom actively engage in the sponsorship strategic initiatives, except for acquisitions. As long as operating units make their profit projections, there is little interaction with headquarters. From a governance perspective, this highly decentralized organization leaves people alone to apply their own judgment. Further, moves to gain  efficiencies are often thwarted by passive aggressive behaviors (agreeing to support new ideas, and then fighting those same ideas when they affect the local operation). Also due to decentralization and the global scope, people mostly work electronic communications, especially text and email. They find communicating through gadgets to be less ambiguous that working face to face with people. The result for this company is that an short-term operational rhythm dominates its underlying culture.

The underlying structure is one of habits, two being: short-term operational behaviors and the pre-occupation with mobile gadgets.

Second, I used a strategic question to foster reframing the expectations of the workshop participants. Although short-term concrete reactions (have an interesting and fun workshop) were important, we realized more of a balance of looking longer term and more strategically. In this decentralized organization, people could understand career success better than they could understand enterprise success. It’s easier to talk about successful strategy execution when people can see a direct linkage to their paycheck and their career.

There is a third element of strategic thinking in this story. When I developed my insight, I expected people to say that an interesting seminar would result in their beliefs being challenged. Instead, the participants wanted fun and interaction; they didn’t want drudgery. The concept of “beliefs” is just to deep – and potentially scary. The solution needed to be pragmatic.

My expectation was a hypothesis, and the hypothesis was disproven. My hypothesis reflected the story that I was telling to myself, not the reality of the participant’s story. The learning here is one that gets repeated constantly in organizational strategy: individuals carry around stories that may not match their stakeholder. To be successful, I would have to adapt my strategy. Since then, I have started to think about every situation as one that might require me to reframe my own approach. An important lesson:

Good strategy has to adapt to local situations and the stories of strategic stakeholders.

~~

Do you agree that it is useful to look for the underlying structure, to work on reframing, and to test your hypotheses?

Strategic Planning is a “Difficult Conversation”

frustrationThe Board’s strategy team was struggling. They had met several times, and were lacking consensus on almost everything: what was the core strategic challenge, who had the best ideas, were there hidden agendas, was the time in the meeting worth their while, can they trust their colleagues?

I decided to address this issue head on. Here is what I told the group as we kicked off the session:

“Strategy work invariably involves ambiguity, as we discussed at the kickoff meeting. Ambiguity takes people out of their comfort zone and few people really like that discomfort. Ambiguity and frustration go hand in hand. I’m asking you to focus on the tasks of strategic thinking, and not the discomfort.

The ambiguity presently facing us involves several things. It involves defining and agreeing on the core challenge for the organization. It involves agreeing on whether or not our preferred future is feasible. It involves selecting the actions – the what – that will address the core challenge and move us toward the vision. We have to figure out all of those things in order to say “We have a strategy to recommend.” The question we are struggling with is this: What is going to happen?

Continuing, I told them,

Underneath our conversation about events – answering the what-is-going-to-happen question – are two other conversations. They are, “What am I feeling?” and “Who am I?”

Some of you might be feeling frustrated and maybe even angry. Your feelings are legitimate. Your feelings are influenced by the deeper “Who am I?” conversation going on inside each of us. Each person in this room comes to this strategy-development workshop with their own life experience and expectations.

My words of advice turned out to be helpful in building patience.  The board members were a little more open about acknowledging the difficulties that they faced. Too, my remarks made it safer to express their feelings. One Board member told me afterwards, “Yes, I am feeling frustrated, because I am a Marine and as a Marine we like to be physically advancing towards our targets.”

Amygdala Hijack: Extreme Emotion Can Block Good Thinking

Our brains have a near constant tension underway between the higher-order conceptualization that takes place in the pre-frontal cortex, and the more primitive Amygdala and basal ganglia (which are the sources of anxiety and habits).  First degree murder is a crime where the murder is committed by premeditation; it is the pre-frontal cortex in action. Second degree murder is one where the passions have taken over. I’ve heard this called “Amygdala hijack.”  I’m sure you recognize this statement as common,

He was too angry to think straight!

Strategic thinking is done best when people are calm and reflective. Detachment, the ability to step back for patterns and perspective, is essential.

Frustration is common in group strategy work, especially for those who have not had much prior exposure. If not managed well, frustration quickly expresses itself as anger. Anger takes over, and people become too angry to think straight. Furthermore, the anger is ameliorated by assignment of blame to others.  The unrecognized story goes something like this: there must be a reason that I am feeling this way, and someone who is causing it. When I assign blame I have resolved the ambiguity so I feel a bit more comfortable.

Strategy as a Difficult Conversation

These next paragraphs will give you some of the theory that further explains my comments to the strategy team.

Strategy meetings can be difficult, in large part because strategy development is an inherently ambiguous undertaking.  People, generally speaking, don’t like ambiguity and often avoid it. Hence, people avoid the difficult thinking work of strategy and gravitate towards concrete concepts and tasks.

The challenge for the strategic thinker can be overcome by recognizing that “difficult meetings” usually mean managing “difficult conversations.” A difficult conversation is one where the stakes are high, people need to work together, the potential for mistakes in communication is high, and the consequences of not dealing with those mistakes can start an unproductive blame game.

Difficult Conversations by Douglas Stone and coauthors presents a model for dealing with those disagreements that can destroy a collaboration. The book explains that any difficult conversation is actually composed of three layered sub conversations:

  • The conversation about “What happened?” When we look back on an incident, we often can’t agree on the facts of what happened. For our purposes of discussing strategy, I restate Stone’s first question for as this, “What is going to happen?” The practical question is one that will be contentious: can we agree on what should or will happen?
  • The conversation about, “What am I feeling?” People may not actually talk about the question, but feelings nevertheless will influence the conversation.
  • The conversation about, “Who am I?”

Another Example: How One Powerful Emotion Destroyed a Strategic Initiative?

I remember vividly a situation in a Division-level strategy session designed to meet the CEO’s challenge to double the size of its revenues. I was working with a small core group of people that could only meet for an hour or two every week. After several meetings, the group had decided that the brand identity was the Division’s core competency, making it the best possible lever for creating growth.

Donna was a member of that group. She was a 25-year veteran of the organization who understood all of the numbers that drove the business model. I had met her a year earlier and found her to be a very pleasant and capable person.

Due to the ongoing pressures of running the business in its busy season, we had to take a three-week hiatus from strategy work. When we returned to resume discussions, we tried to regain momentum on the question of “what do we do next?” I reminded them that they had determined that their core competency and we were now at the point of figuring out how to best apply that core competency to gain competitive advantage.

Donna did something that surprised everyone. She outbursted in anger: “YOU MEAN WE FORGOT!” What was she angry about? To forget is human; the group collectively forgot something that was important. Her anger was directed in a general kind of way at herself, her colleagues, the strategic planning process, and at me.

Here is an explanation: Donna’s anger was a boiling over of frustration, because the management team had not yet decided the answer to the question, “what is going to happen?”

Continuing with the story, she quickly regained her composure and we carried on with the meeting. However, the meeting that day was the last time the Division made a serious attempt to devise a growth strategy. The group found reasons stayed operationally focused and never changed its mediocre business model. The CEO accepted the excuse that “we are busy” and “we’re trying.”

I followed up with the Divisions’ President several times as it became clear that “operational business” was going to prevail over “strategic impact” (my words, not his). During one conversation, he mentioned that “people got angry when the work on strategy.” Years later, I recognize that he was subtly blaming the advisor (me) for Donna’s outburst and the discomfort that everyone felt. Now, perhaps I should have sent out an email beforehand reminding people of the past accomplishments. That error of omission was a mistake, and mistakes are inevitable in difficult conversations. As I mentioned earlier, people are human.

The entire nature of difficult conversations is that they involve people and their subjective stories and views:

Stakes are high; information is incomplete; mistakes will be made; emotions trump reasoning; we don’t really know the inner person; we have varying levels of emotional intelligence; it’s comforting to blame others, people avoid ambiguity; the status quo is powerful

In order to think and act strategically, we have to recognize an ongoing and never-ending challenge:  We can’t deny our emotions nor our identities. We can’t deny the impact of the emotions nor disregard the identities of other strategic actors. We somehow have to find a way to “vent” the emotion and carry on with strategic thinking in a calm way (that is, let the prefrontal cortex do its work).

This story continues a lesson on the destructive effects of ambiguity. It needs to be recognized. To deny its presence is to return to the status quo.

A final lesson in this story has to do with memory.  The group had made a breakthrough: it had determined a strategic insight around the use of its brand as a leverageable core competency. That breakthrough was documented (but people didn’t review the document or pause to refresh their memory).

Who Am I?

Recapping this article: strategy involves difficult conversations, and difficult conversations are actually composed of three subconversations. The first subconversation is about events (what will happen?) but it can get disrupted by the second one (what am if feeling?) when frustration is unmanaged and spills into anger or ambiguity avoidance.

The third subconversation question (i.e., Who am I?) is the most sensitive and nuanced of the three.  Each individual has a life story that defines their sense of self. Their story may be helpful to strategic thinking, or it may get in the way. If the story is a mismatch, we increase the impact of difficult conversations becoming unproductive conversations.

To illustrate, I’ll return to the Marine mentioned at the opening of the article. Marines proudly declare, “One you are a Marine, you are always a Marine.” This Marine had not been on active duty for several years. Regardless the “I am a Marine” story was central to his self view. Every time I met him, he mentioned he was a Marine. Every email from him mentioned he was a Marine. He repeatedly explained that Marines are people who take action (with the implication that conversation and thinking was not action). In his prior experience, someone else would tell him what was important, and he would respond with urgency. Marines are people who have the purpose of the Corps deeply engrained into them.

Here is the mismatch: In this strategic situation, we were trying to figure out what was important to the civilian organization he was now serving. This involved identifying the strategic questions to act upon. We wanted this Marine to think like a General, not a Sargent. The strategic planning situation involved the purpose of the organization, a discussion that Marines don’t need to conduct. His remembrance of military strategy didn’t match his experience with civilian strategy, so he judged the effort appeared as irrelevant and wasteful. To his credit, he resigned from the strategy work because of his discomfort with the situation.

Competency in Managing Frustration

Frustration resembles the emotions of fear and anxiety.  One cause of frustration is that the individual “feels like things are out of control.” Organizational process are bounded and controlled, and provide a sense of safety and predictability for the individual.  Both Donna and the Marine had spent most of their career in process-oriented organizations. They were both outside of their comfort zones and their amygdala hijacked their ability to make worthwhile contributions to strategy discussions.

So, strategic thinking competency is not just a competency of processing information in a rational way. It is also a competency of managing one’s emotions. It is a competency that involves managing frustration: perhaps it is the strong mindedness to persevere and complete the tasks of strategy.

I’ll close with a story about “Hell Week,” the final excruciating training that US Navy SEALs must pass to graduate from SEAL school. I recall reading an instructor explaining,

“Everyone knows that Hell Week will be the most brutal physical test they will ever experience. The individuals who will graduate are those who keep their focus on the task immediately in front of them. Those who quit are those who allow the discomfort to dominate their attention.

How do you handle difficult conversations that involve strategy development? Do you agree that one aspect of strategic thinking is to recognize and manage emotions?

The Six Elements of Strategy: A Pattern Perspective

Patterns

Because chess is a game of patterns, you could say that a chess Grand Master is an expert with chess patterns.  Similarly, a strategy master is expert with strategy patterns.

The proposition raises an interesting strategic thinking question, “What are the patterns in strategy?” Patterns are regularities, and their presence suggests some kind of predictability. In chess there are opening moves, in entrepreneurialism there are predictable start-up challenges. In chess, you might have several of your valuable pieces captured, in business your customers can defect to competitors.

There seems to be a countless number of patterns of strategy. Instead of a full cataloguing, let’s find the minimum elements that could describe strategy patterns. To keep it simple, I’ll assume that if a chess player plays 10 matches, there were 10 strategies used by her. Now, turning to the idea of strategy being composed of patterns, I believe there are six elements. They are as follows: players, analysis of the situation, degree of relative advantage/disadvantage in position, resources, decisions about deploying the resources, and an overall life cycle of the strategy.

Let’s see if the six-element model – a pattern – holds for the chess analogy. There are two players. The lifecycle starts with the agreement to join in a game, and its endgame is a checkmate or agreement that it is a draw with no winner. In the opening of a chess game, the players are even in terms of advantage and resources. Throughout the game, each player monitors the situation. Each player makes a decision and moves a resource, followed by the other moving a resource. Soon, the players recognize that they are in a position of advantage or disadvantage; and each continues to move resources until the game ends with victory for one of the players, or a stalemate. The six-element model is valid here!

What about the application to strategies with greater consequences than a chess game? The 2012 United States presidential election involved two principal candidates (players), challenger Mitt Romney and incumbent Barack Obama. The lifecycle begins with each’s announcement of candidacy and end with Romney’s election-night concession and Obama’s victory speech.  Each came into the contest with important resources such as the candidate’s experience, dollars, and organization. Each had perceived advantages: Obama’s incumbency and Romney’s business background.  Interestingly, those advantages were often cast as liabilities. Each campaign made decisions about its resources: where should the candidate go to speak, and where should you send a surrogate? Advantage ebbed and flowed throughout the contest, and the final advantage was not clear until late in the evening of Election Day. Again, the six-element model seems to capture the essential elements of strategy.

These six elements appear to be universal to any situation involving strategy. I call them the master pattern of strategy, but the words archetype or template convey similar meanings. I invite you to test them against your knowledge of a business’s strategy, warfare, or other situations. I would be interested to learn if there are any exceptions.

Next, let’s examine each of the six elements, and the patterns within the element.

  • Lifecycle – The lifecycle for a strategy is similar to other lifecycles: beginning, middle, and end. The lifecycle of a game of chess involves phases that I call the phases of the strategy lifecycle for chess: pre-engagement, opening, development, endgame, and post game. For a business strategy, it might be diagnosis of a challenge, formulation of intent, creation of policy and resources, and implementation of decisions. You could also view this lifecycle for a strategy as a subset of the organization’s lifecycle.
  • Players – The players are normally individuals, but could be organizations. Regardless, there are repeating patterns, such as values and habits that guide their decision making. From a strategy perspective, we know that self-awareness is one important skill for the strategist. By extension, the strategist seeks to learn their opponent’s intentions and patterns of behavior, which may yield an advantage. In some cases, each player’s narrative arc, that is, their life story becomes a resource and a link to the lifecycle of a strategy. Examples would include each of the two presidential candidates touting their life story as evidence for their qualifications for the Presidency, Christopher Columbus’ experiences as a sailor and as a mapmaker in Lisbon, and Estee Lauder’s experience as a woman in post-WWI and WWII New York City.
  • Situation – The situation is your subjective assessment of those factors that describe your status or position in the strategic milieu. This element is rich in patterns, with some patterns more relevant to others. For example, weather is a series of patterns. There are trends in the economy. New entrants enter markets. All of these affect the strategist because the context changes, putting the strategist in a new situation. Not to be overlooked are patterns that describe possible future scenarios.
  • Resources – Resources are the source of power. The rook piece in chess has a defined power different from that found in a pawn, and has constraints on how it can move. The rook has flexibilities different from a pawn. In other examples, we can see that inventors gain power by securing patents. Armies have power provided by the skill level and motivation of its soldiers and officers.
  • Relative advantage – Although related to the element of situation, the relative advantage is important enough to warrant its own category. The relative advantage is the real goal of a strategy: to create advantage over something else. This element forces an important question related to context, resources, and decisions: Am I in a stronger or weaker position?
  • Decisions to commit resources – This element involves concepts like movements of resources, reversibility of commitments, and rules (existing and emerging) and constraints. From a pattern perspective, you might consider whether habit and inertia will dominate the decisions, or whether there needs to be breakthrough.

How You Use This as a Tool

Finally, let’s return to the statement that chess grand masters are experts with chess patterns, and the logical extension that strategy masters are experts of strategy patterns.  If you are concerned about strategy in business, it will do you little good to learn chess patterns. (And, for the record, I don’t play chess.)  Instead, you need to learn about your business’s context: its success factors, the competitors, the role of government regulation, and so forth.  Consider making a list of those patterns, and consult and edit your list from time to time, knowing that often entrenched behaviors and wisdom are vulnerabilities that competitors can exploit. Even better, organize that list into a hierarchical map of patterns.

The definition of a pattern as a regularity should stimulate some useful questions: What regularities are present in the industry (seasonality, correlation with GDP)? What regularities do you have in your decision-making or other habits (pricing decisions, talent decisions, meeting management)?

Strategic thinking often involves reframing, which is the practice of taking on new perspectives.  Patterns functions as frames; they give you a sense of structure. They help you make predictions. On the other hand, patterns may also be the source of status quo thinking and make you vulnerable to a competitor who has better insights than you do.

Try applying this six element model to a strategic situation. Does it offer you a better understanding or insights?

Two Case Studies in Strategic Thinking: Rick Pitino and Billy Beane

Pitino-BeaneThis article describes two well-known executives who changed strategic contexts: one used patterns and analogies well and was successful; the other didn’t. First we will examine the experience of Rick Pitino – an outstanding college basketball coach – who struggled with coaching in the NBA. Then we will examine how Billy Beane of the Oakland A’s used creative desperation and a healthy skepticism to rethink his managerial approach with the Moneyball-era Oakland A’s baseball team.

Rick Pitino: Patterns for College Strategy Do Not Translate to the NBA

As a college coach, Pitino had a won-loss record of 371-137, as of 1997, and won a national championship with the University of Kentucky. Pitino agreed to move to the professional ranks to become the GM and coach of the Boston Celtics. This move created a great deal of excitement for the Boston fans. Unfortunately all involved, the excitement and optimism turned to anger when the team failed to perform to expectations. With a record of 102-146, Pitino left to return to the college ranks midway through his third season, hugely unpopular.

What went wrong?  How could this great strategist fail?  In an article titled, “Lessons Learned (and Forgotten) from Celtics’ Failed Rick Pitino Experiment,” Grant Hughes writes,

“Pitino’s coaching style, just like the persona he employed in interviews, was very much “Rick-centric.” On the court, that meant he had to win on his own terms. The full-court presses and mass substitutions that led to so much success in college were going to define his Celtics teams, consequences be damned. Even when it became clear that the desired results of Pitino’s preferred style—forced turnovers, a fast pace, general chaos—weren’t leading to wins, the coach stuck stubbornly to his guns.

Hughes points out this key to success in the NBA: Players dictate strategy—not the other way around.  Antione Winfield, who played for Pitino at Kentucky and later at Boston reinforces the idea of patterning actions around players, observed in a different interview:

“What I noticed playing for Coach (Pitino) at that time, I think you have to be patient. I think if you look at Rick Pitino and what he did in that era, he traded probably thirty guys. “He’d sign guys and trade them right away. His patience level was so low. You have to be patient and you have to build something. You have to start with one or two guys and kind of build around them, and that’s a lot of things college coaches don’t want to do because they’re so used to winning at the collegiate level, at such a high level. When they’re winning 85, 86, 87 percent of their games, and then you get to the NBA level and it’s not the same.”

From a strategic thinking perspective, it seems like the problems are rooted in the patterns and context: basketball is different at the college level and at the professional level. The learning is to develop a sensitivity for patterns and context. Pitino perhaps suffered from what Gary Klein calls “passive stance” or what others call frame blindness.

The Coach’s Learning

Gary Washburn, writer for the Boston Globe interviewed Pitino. Looking back on the experience, Pitino says,

“The [fact of the] matter is I didn’t do a good enough job as an executive. It also taught me about wearing a lot of hats, focusing on what you can do. It was a class organization. They treated me great. I [had] nothing but great things to say about it when Brad [Stevens] got the job. It’s just that it didn’t work out for me, but it did work out for me because without the Celtics, I wouldn’t have learned all about failure and all about humility.”

Gary Washburn, offers this observation in the same article:

It taught Pitino he is better at convincing parents in a rural Kentucky home to allow their child to start his next phase of life at Louisville than crossing his fingers for good luck in the NBA draft lottery.

Billy Beane: Reinvents Himself, His Organization, and His Industry

Billy Beane, General Manager of professional baseball’s Oakland A’s, is now well known from the book and movie, Moneyball.  As a player, Beane played in the majors for several years with different teams, finally spending more time in the minor leagues than he cared for.  He chose to end his playing career in 1990 to take a job as an advance scout. In 1997, he was promoted to General Manager, taking over from Sandy Alderson. Using sabermetrics techniques, the team made baseball’s playoffs despite one of the lowest payrolls in the game. Beane completely reversed traditional wisdom about how to build a team, coming to the conclusion that scouts had no idea of what they were talking about, and looking for new statistically-based measures of productivity.

Beane was successful in part because he changed his own personal patterns. Says Sandy Alderson, who was the A’s General Manager and brought Beane into the organization, says in the Michael Lewis’ book, Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game,

“What Billy figured out at some point was that he wanted to be more like me than like Jose Canseco.”  Addressing Beane’s change of mindset and patterns, Alderson said, “Billy shed every one of his player-type prejudices and adapted. Whereas most of the people like him would have said, ‘that’s not the way we did it when I played.

It’s instructive to note Beane’s own perspective,

“If baseball’s all you can do and you know that’s all you can do, it breed in you a certain creative desperation.”

As a concluding thought, it’s rather interesting that both men suffered a humiliation.  Beane’s was that of a player struggling in the major leagues, and being relegated to the rougher life of an aging minor-league player. Beane’s marriage also broke up at the same time he concluded his playing career. Pitino’s quote on learning humility from his Boston experience shows growth, and perhaps has helped him be more strategic as a person and a coach in his return to college ranks.

As a strategic thinker, you must have a sensitivity to patterns and context.  Too, perhaps much of journey to become more competent in thinking strategically might be in the way that you learn – and bounce back – from failures. Do you agree?

Chess, Patterns, Analogy, and Strategic Thinking (Part 2)

Patterns & Strategic ThinkingSuccess in the game of chess is based on principles that apply in other strategic thinking situations (as introduced in the prior article in this series).

Patterns as Essential Element of Strategy

The focus of this article is further developing the concept of patterns in strategy, I will return to the example of chess introduced in the prior article. Patterns are a common element of all strategic situations.

Adriaan de Groot concludes, in his research on chess mastery (see the Wikipedia entry), that:

“it is the ability to recognize patterns, which are then memorized, which distinguished the skilled players from the novices.”

These two distinguishing characteristics – pattern recognition and memory – are relevant to strategic thinking in any domain, not just chess.  My straightforward recommendation for improving your strategic thinking is to develop your ability to recognize and learning patterns.

Recognizing Patterns              

Chess is a game of patterns with colorful names like the Catalan Opening, the Sicilian Defense and the King’s Indian Attack. These patterns -albeit jargon – help chess players improve their game strategy.

Patterns are easily observed in other strategic contexts. In business, strategists have knowledge of patterns like double-entry accounting, the CAP-M financial model, and Porter’s Five Forces of industry attractiveness. The game of American football has colorful names for patterns such as the flying wedge, the wishbone, goal line stands, and red zones. The US Army has an offensive operation known as Envelopment which was used with great success at the opening of the Desert Storm operation in Kuwait in 1990. Notice that each domain (or strategic context) has its own patterns (and jargon); doesn’t it make sense that mastery involves the ability to recognize a pattern within a domain?

Memorizing Patterns

Next, let’s examine the importance of Adriaan de Groot’s finding that chess experts have an ability to memorize the patterns in such a way that they can then access the memory and apply it to the game. Stated simply, chess masters learn and apply information about chess patterns just as people in other contexts learn and apply patterns.

Most people have practiced rote memorization, and know that they need to keep the task simple. Further, they need to reinforce with repetition to put it into long-term memory (think about experiences with multiplication table drills). In chess, rote memorization of the rules is a starting point. Rote memorization falls apart when we have to apply those rules to strategic situations.

(See the “sidebar” at the bottom of this post for an interesting examination how IBM’s Deep Blue computer bested Gary Kasparov – and its implications for strategic thinking.)

Through the work of David Ausubel others, academics now widely agree that people learn new things by associating new knowledge with related and already-known knowledge. Children learn letters, then words, then sentences. Knowledge is built up from simple to complex. Memory becomes a cognitive structure of related patterns.

Using Ausubel’s constructivist approach, we can theorize that chess players first learn a few patterns, establishing a basic cognitive structure. Then the player adds to the cognitive structure. At some point they reach mastery, and hold a rich and robust scaffold of knowledge.

The player progressively gains expertise as they add new knowledge to cognitive structure. They find that the new information helps them to refine, sharpen, and correct existing ideas.

Chunking is another concept of memory that is especially helpful for short-term memory and for moving concepts from short-term memory into long-term memory. For example, telephone numbers have chunks of digits that we know as country codes, area codes, exchange codes, and phone numbers. As a learning strategy, look for chunks of knowledge.

Neuroscientist Daniel Bor says there are three activities involved in chunking. The first is the search for chunks. The second is the noticing and memorizing of those chunks. The third is the use of the chunks we’ve already built up.

Consider chunks as a gateway to patterns:

Patterns are a tool for chunking memory.
And chunks are a tool for organizing patterns.

It seems that the quantity and quality of patterns in memory is a key to opportunity recognition, and therefore strategic thinking. It is fair to say that within each domain (warfare, chess, business, etc.) there are many patterns. The goal is to organize and structured knowledge in such a way that the brain can access the memory for patterns. This gives the person the ability to quickly match the pattern and find what is interesting.

How? Use chunking to commit some early patterns to memory, probably through some sort of rote learning or a simple analogy or a mnemonic. Further enrich them with examples. Now, practice scaffolding – working through analogy to relate new patterns to old patterns.

As an additional suggestion for memory, patterns, and culture, check out my description of Kolb’s learning cycle in this post.

Conclusion – Questions for Practical Application of Concepts

The game of chess provides a starting point for identifying some of the fundamentals of strategic thinking. In this article, I identified patterns as a generic element of all strategies, and discussed how the strategist recognizes patterns and memorizes them.

Are you alert for patterns? Do you practice analogies? Could you list the most important and essential patterns associated with your organization? Do you try to falsify your knowledge and strategies?

Do you agree that the ability to apprehend patterns and comprehend patterns is important to strategic thinking?

~~~

Sidebar:

On Chess Patterns and the True Nature of Intelligence

In 1997, IBM’s supercomputer “Deep Blue” defeated chess grandmaster Gary Kasparov in a highly publicized six-game match. Are there implications for the study of strategic thinking? Beating Kasparov was an engineering feat, not  a breakthrough in strategic thinking. Deep Blue was programmed in a way that is akin to rote memory rather than the generation of insights. James Somers points out:

“Deep Blue won by brute force. For each legal move it could make at a given point in the game, it would consider its opponent’s responses, its own responses to those responses, and so on for six or more steps down the line. With a fast evaluation function, it would calculate a score for each possible position, and then make the move that led to the best score. What allowed Deep Blue to beat the world’s best humans was raw computational power. It could evaluate up to 330 million positions a second while Kasparov could evaluate only a few dozen before having to make a decision.

It’s hard to make the case that a computer has exercised an intelligence that we could call humanistic or strategic. Deep Blue simply recognized patterns and matched them against a repository of patterns.  Perhaps we could say that it generated insights, but those insights were of low quality compared to what humans can do (for examples, see my articles on insight generation by the inventors of 3M’s Post It notes or the field researchers for Absolut Vodka).

The above quote was from an article titled “The Man Who Would Teach Machines to Think” in the November 2013 issue of Atlantic Magazine. The “man” referenced in Somers’ article is Pulitzer Prize winning author Douglas Hofstadter, who won for his book Godel Escher Bach in 1980.  Hofstadter says that the fluid nature of mental categories is the core of human intelligence. Somers’ article quotes Hofstadter and explains,

“Cognition is recognition,” he likes to say. He describes “seeing as” the essential cognitive act: you see some lines as “an A,” you see a hunk of wood as “a table,” you see a meeting as “an emperor-has-no-clothes situation” and a friend’s pouting as “sour grapes” and a young man’s style as “hipsterish” and on and on throughout your day.

Hofstadter suggests that thinking and learning is mostly a process of forming analogies: something reminds you of something that reminds you of yet something else. Mental categories are the way that we organize the knowledge structure.

We’ve all had conversations like where the overall direction of the conversation is set by the way that each person’s recollections are stimulated by something that another said: We hear something and say, “that reminds me of _____ .” We make the connection – have an insight – and the conversation continues. Not surprisingly, strategy is developed through conversation. Initially, the conversations in organizations are about sharing each person’s sense of the situation and the solution to others.  The agreement of the stakeholders is the “buy in.”

The practical advice for the strategic thinker: become more aware of your use of analogies. How is one strategic situation (pattern) similar and different from another?  Watch for a future article that about two well-known CEO’s who changed strategic contexts: one used patterns and analogies well and was successful; the other didn’t.

~~~